Wednesday’s game between the No. 21 Memphis Tigers (8-2) and the Virginia Cavaliers (6-4) at John Paul Jones Arena has a projected final score of 74-66 based on our computer prediction, with a favored Memphis squad securing the victory. Game time is at 7:00 PM ET on December 18.

According to our computer prediction, Memphis projects to cover the 4.5-point spread in its matchup versus Virginia. The over/under is currently listed at 130.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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Memphis vs. Virginia Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, December 18, 2024
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Charlottesville, Virginia
• Venue: John Paul Jones Arena
• Line: Memphis -4.5
• Point total: 130.5
• Moneyline (to win): Memphis -184, Virginia +152

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Memphis vs. Virginia Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Memphis 74, Virginia 66

Spread & Total Prediction for Memphis vs. Virginia

• Pick ATS: Memphis (-4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (130.5)

Memphis’ record against the spread this season is 7-3-0, while Virginia’s is 3-7-0. The Tigers have hit the over in seven games, while Cavaliers games have gone over four times. The two teams score an average of 142.5 points per game, 12.0 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Memphis Performance Insights

• The Tigers average 81.1 points per game (69th in college basketball) while allowing 77.1 per outing (307th in college basketball). They have a +40 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 4.0 points per game.
• Memphis ranks 252nd in college basketball at 31.8 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 31.2 its opponents average.
• Memphis knocks down 8.5 three-pointers per game (124th in college basketball), 1.3 fewer than its opponents (9.8).
• The Tigers’ 99.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 112th in college basketball, and the 94.9 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 278th in college basketball.
• Memphis has committed 13.6 turnovers per game (320th in college basketball play) while forcing 13.2 (110th in college basketball).

Virginia Performance Insights

• The Cavaliers put up 61.4 points per game (355th in college basketball) while giving up 60.2 per outing (13th in college basketball). They have a +12 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 1.2 points per game.
• Virginia records 29.8 rebounds per game (310th in college basketball), compared to the 30.1 of its opponents.
• Virginia connects on 8.2 three-pointers per game (155th in college basketball) at a 38.1% rate (43rd in college basketball), compared to the 8.0 its opponents make, shooting 32.5% from deep.
• Virginia has come up short in the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 11.5 (163rd in college basketball) while forcing 9.0 (352nd in college basketball).

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