Saturday’s game that pits the No. 15 Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-3, 2-2 SEC) against the No. 21 Ole Miss Rebels (15-2, 4-0 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 75-73 in favor of Mississippi State. Game time is at 6:00 PM ET on January 18.

Based on our computer prediction, Ole Miss should cover the spread, which is currently listed at 5.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 145.5 total.

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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Mississippi State -5.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -235, Ole Miss +190

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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Mississippi State 75, Ole Miss 73

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss

• Pick ATS: Ole Miss (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Mississippi State’s record against the spread this season is 9-8-0, and Ole Miss’ is 12-5-0. The Bulldogs are 9-8-0 and the Rebels are 6-11-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams average 161.5 points per game, 16.0 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 contests, Mississippi State is 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall while Ole Miss has gone 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs average 82.8 points per game (30th in college basketball) while giving up 69.5 per contest (119th in college basketball). They have a +227 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 13.3 points per game.
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by 5.3 boards on average. It records 36.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 23rd in college basketball, while its opponents grab 31.5 per outing.
• Mississippi State hits 8.6 three-pointers per game (106th in college basketball) at a 32.7% rate (247th in college basketball), compared to the 8.0 its opponents make while shooting 34.8% from beyond the arc.
• The Bulldogs rank 41st in college basketball with 103.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 75th in college basketball defensively with 87.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Mississippi State has won the turnover battle by 4.2 turnovers per game, committing 9.4 (14th in college basketball play) while forcing 13.6 (55th in college basketball).

Ole Miss Performance Insights

• The Rebels are outscoring opponents by 14.1 points per game, with a +240 scoring differential overall. They put up 78.7 points per game (91st in college basketball) and allow 64.6 per outing (31st in college basketball).
• The 31.9 rebounds per game Ole Miss accumulates rank 226th in the country. Their opponents grab 31.5.
• Ole Miss makes 8.8 three-pointers per game (88th in college basketball) at a 35.4% rate (99th in college basketball), compared to the 7.1 per game its opponents make, at a 29.1% rate.
• Ole Miss has committed 6.4 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 8.8 (fifth in college basketball) while forcing 15.2 (18th in college basketball).

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