Sunday’s contest between the No. 21 Memphis Tigers (11-3, 1-0 AAC) and North Texas Mean Green (10-3, 1-0 AAC) at FedExForum has a projected final score of 75-65 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of heavily favored Memphis, so it should be a lopsided matchup. The game will tip off at 5:00 PM ET on January 5.

According to our computer prediction, Memphis is projected to cover the point spread (9.5) against North Texas. The two sides are expected to exceed the 136.5 over/under.

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Memphis vs. North Texas Game Info & Odds

• Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025
• Time: 5:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Memphis, Tennessee
• Venue: FedExForum
• Line: Memphis -9.5
• Point total: 136.5
• Moneyline (to win): Memphis -490, North Texas +375

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Memphis vs. North Texas Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Memphis 75, North Texas 65

Spread & Total Prediction for Memphis vs. North Texas

• Pick ATS: Memphis (-9.5)
• Pick OU: Over (136.5)

Memphis has put together a 9-5-0 record against the spread this season, while North Texas is 5-6-0. The Tigers have an 8-6-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Mean Green have a record of 6-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score an average of 148.6 points per game, 12.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Memphis is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its past 10 contests, while North Texas has gone 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Memphis Performance Insights

• The Tigers are outscoring opponents by 5.3 points per game with a +74 scoring differential overall. They put up 79.9 points per game (82nd in college basketball) and give up 74.6 per contest (266th in college basketball).
• Memphis wins the rebound battle by 2.0 boards on average. It records 33.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 151st in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 31.6 per outing.
• Memphis hits 8.2 three-pointers per game (150th in college basketball) at a 41.2% rate (sixth-best in college basketball), compared to the 9.0 its opponents make while shooting 33.4% from deep.
• The Tigers average 98.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (145th in college basketball), and allow 91.5 points per 100 possessions (198th in college basketball).
• Memphis has committed 14.1 turnovers per game (338th in college basketball action), 1.6 more than the 12.5 it forces on average (152nd in college basketball).

North Texas Performance Insights

• The Mean Green put up 68.7 points per game (319th in college basketball) while allowing 57.9 per contest (fifth in college basketball). They have a +140 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 10.8 points per game.
• North Texas wins the rebound battle by an average of 3.1 boards. It grabs 28.8 rebounds per game (337th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 25.7.
• North Texas knocks down 7.4 three-pointers per game (219th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.5. It shoots 35.8% from deep, and its opponents shoot 32.4%.
• North Texas has come up on top in the turnover battle by 3.8 per game, committing 9.8 (44th in college basketball) while forcing 13.6 (70th in college basketball).

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