Saturday’s contest at FedExForum has the No. 21 Memphis Tigers (9-2) taking on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-1) at 12:30 PM ET (on December 21). Our computer prediction projects a close 77-76 victory for Memphis, so expect a tight matchup.

According to our computer prediction, Mississippi State projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup against Memphis. The over/under is currently listed at 154.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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Memphis vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
• Time: 12:30 PM ET
• TV: CBS
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Memphis, Tennessee
• Venue: FedExForum
• Line: Memphis -1.5
• Point total: 154.5
• Moneyline (to win): Memphis -120, Mississippi State +100

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Memphis vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Memphis 77, Mississippi State 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Memphis vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (154.5)

Memphis has gone 7-4-0 against the spread, while Mississippi State’s ATS record this season is 6-5-0. The Tigers have gone over the point total in seven games, while Bulldogs games have gone over six times. The teams combine to score 163.6 points per game, 9.1 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Memphis Performance Insights

• The Tigers’ +42 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 79.5 points per game (97th in college basketball) while allowing 75.7 per contest (288th in college basketball).
• Memphis wins the rebound battle by 1.5 boards on average. It collects 32.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 230th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 30.8 per contest.
• Memphis knocks down 8.2 three-pointers per game (156th in college basketball), 1.3 fewer than its opponents (9.5).
• The Tigers score 98.9 points per 100 possessions (126th in college basketball), while allowing 94.2 points per 100 possessions (263rd in college basketball).
• Memphis has committed 13.5 turnovers per game (318th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.7 (143rd in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs put up 84.1 points per game (37th in college basketball) while giving up 67.7 per outing (96th in college basketball). They have a +180 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 16.4 points per game.
• Mississippi State is 33rd in the nation at 37.0 rebounds per game. That’s 5.3 more than the 31.7 its opponents average.
• Mississippi State hits 9.0 three-pointers per game (88th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.2 on average.
• Mississippi State has committed 8.6 turnovers per game (second in college basketball), 4.9 fewer than the 13.5 it forces (85th in college basketball).

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