Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 11

Published 8:18 pm Friday, January 10, 2025

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-17) are favored (-1.5) to continue a three-game winning streak when they host the Memphis Grizzlies (24-14) at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Target Center. The contest airs on FDSN and FDSSE.

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSN and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: Target Center

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 114 – Grizzlies 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

  • Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Timberwolves (-0.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (229.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.9
  • The Timberwolves have had less success against the spread than the Grizzlies this year, tallying an ATS record of 15-22-0, compared to the 24-14-0 mark of the Grizzlies.
  • Minnesota covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point favorite or more 38.7% of the time. That’s less often than Memphis covers as an underdog of 1.5 or more (58.3%).
  • Memphis and its opponents have exceeded the over/under 63.2% of the time this season (24 out of 38). That’s more often than Minnesota and its opponents have (17 out of 37).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Timberwolves are 18-13, a better mark than the Grizzlies have posted (5-7) as moneyline underdogs.

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Timberwolves Performance Insights

  • The Timberwolves own a top-five defense this year, ranking fourth-best in the league with 107.2 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 22nd with 108.9 points scored per contest.
  • So far this season, Minnesota is averaging 43.6 boards per game (18th-ranked in NBA) and giving up 43.3 rebounds per contest (eighth-ranked).
  • The Timberwolves rank 22nd in the NBA with 24.7 assists per contest.
  • Minnesota is committing 15 turnovers per game (21st-ranked in league). It is forcing 14.2 turnovers per contest (14th-ranked).
  • The Timberwolves are thriving in terms of three-point shooting, as they rank fourth-best in the league in threes (15.1 per game) and fifth-best in shooting percentage from beyond the arc (37.7%).

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Grizzlies Performance Insights

  • The Grizzlies are the best team in the league in points scored (122.9 per game) and 21st in points allowed (114.8).
  • Memphis is the second-best team in the NBA in rebounds per game (48.6) and is ranked 10th in rebounds allowed (43.5).
  • At 30 assists per game, the Grizzlies are second-best in the league.
  • In 2024-25, Memphis is second-worst in the NBA in turnovers committed (16.6 per game) but fifth-best in turnovers forced (15.7).
  • The Grizzlies make 13.9 3-pointers per game and shoot 36.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 12th and 10th, respectively, in the NBA.

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